The US Open Is Underway—Here’s What You Need to Know (and Who’s Going to Win)

After record attendance at their Fan Week—including a raucous and wildly successful new mixed-doubles format—the main draws of the 145th US Open and the final Grand Slam tournament of the year kicked off yesterday at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center in New York, with no major upsets, barring Frenchman Benjamin Bonzi’s surreal five-set victory over 13th-seeded (and 2021 US Open champion) Daniil Medvedev. That came after a bizarre incident in the third set that saw a cameraman wander onto the court in between Bonzi’s first and second serves at match point; the chair umpire then awarded Bonzi another first serve to compensate for the interference, at which point Medvedev became unhinged, goading the crowd into booing the decision and causing a delay of almost six minutes. (Bonzi lost the game, the set, and the next set, but ultimately won out in the fifth, prompting Medvedev to engage in seemingly his favorite hobby these days: Brutally destroying his racquet.)

For the game’s best players, though, the start of the actual tournament comes as something of a relief, as last week had most of them criss-crossing the city en route to myriad sponsors’ events: Aryna Sabalenka had a tequila party; Carlos Alcaraz, Taylor Fritz, Madison Keys, and Sloane Stephens had a pickleball tournament; Vogue had the chance to hit a few balls with Wilson players Marta Kostyuk and Alex de Minaur at a new tennis club opening across the street from our offices, and with Jessica Pegula at an event hosted by Chase Sapphire and Racquet magazine on a pop-up court at the South Street Seaport. We also caught up with Alcaraz at Babolat’s 150th anniversary party at the Seaport, also co-hosted with Racquet; and got some pointers from Frances Tiafoe’s coach, David Witt, at a Grey Goose party, in between dodging Honey Deuces. It’s been a grueling week for all concerned, really, including yours truly—but it does raise the question: Why aren’t more players using the pre-Open spotlight to raise money and awareness for their foundations and charity work? (To be continued…)

Now that the actual tournament is here, though, two things are very much on the minds of tennis-watchers: Will we get another epic final between world number one Jannik Sinner and world number two Carlos Alcaraz—and if we do, who wins it? We’ll get to that in a bit; first, let’s look at the women’s draw.

Sabalenka (last year’s champion) and Iga Swiatek are seeded first and second, respectively, though it’s the latter who’s been on more of a tear lately, winning both Wimbledon and the Open warm-up in Cincinnati. Incredibly, the two have never played each other in a final. It’s debatable, but Sabalenka would seem to have the harder path ahead of her: She’ll likely need to get through Jasmine Paolini or Elena Rybakina in the quarters and Jessica Pegula or Mirra Andreeva (who’s on her way back from an ankle injury) in the semis. Swiatek’s obstacles, on the other hand, seemingly only come in the later brackets, when she could face Coco Gauff—who just shook up her coaching staff in the days leading up to the Open, in hopes of shaking herself out of a modest slump—or Madison Keys. If you’re looking for an upset, keep an eye on Paolini, who’s been up and down but lately much more up, or 18-year-old Canadian phenomenon Victoria Mboko, who plays her opening match today against Barbora Krejcikova.